Riding profile
Gard — 1ère circonscription
The question
Gard — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Gard — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Gard, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 47% vote share, against 29% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Yoann GILLET
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 18.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGard — 1ère circonscription | 46.7% | 28.6% | 15.1% | 6.6% |
| Provincial averageGard | 48.7% −2.0 | 26.7% +1.9 | 12.6% +2.4 | 8.4% −1.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +10.7 | 29.5% −0.8 | 20.6% −5.5 | 12.2% −5.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoann GILLET Elected | RN and allies | 24,894 | 43.9 | — |
| Charles MENARD | Left (NFP) | 16,747 | 29.5 | — |
| Valérie ROUVERAND | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,394 | 20.1 | — |
| Loumy BOURGHOL | LR and allies | 3,076 | 5.4 | — |
| Isabelle LECLERC | Far left | 587 | 1.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Gard — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gard — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gard — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Bouches-du-Rhône — 16ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gard — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vaucluse — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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