Riding profile
Gard — 3ème circonscription
The question
Gard — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Gard — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Gard, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 50% vote share, against 22% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Pascale BORDES
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 28.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGard — 3ème circonscription | 50.2% | 22.1% | 14.2% | 10.2% |
| Provincial averageGard | 48.7% +1.6 | 26.7% −4.6 | 12.6% +1.6 | 8.4% +1.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +14.3 | 29.5% −7.3 | 20.6% −6.4 | 12.2% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascale BORDES Elected | RN and allies | 31,465 | 47.5 | — |
| Sabine OROMI | Left (NFP) | 15,246 | 23.0 | — |
| Christian BAUME | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,727 | 19.2 | — |
| Florent GRAU | LR and allies | 5,988 | 9.0 | — |
| Valery FOURMI | Far left | 640 | 1.0 | — |
| Christophe PREVOST | Others | 199 | 0.3 | — |
| Daniel JEAN | LR and allies | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Gard — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vaucluse — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Gard — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gard — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vaucluse — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vaucluse — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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