Riding profile
Gard — 4ème circonscription
The question
Gard — 4ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Gard — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Gard, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 51% vote share, against 26% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Pierre MEURIN
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 24.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGard — 4ème circonscription | 51.4% | 26.5% | 11.3% | 7.3% |
| Provincial averageGard | 48.7% +2.8 | 26.7% −0.2 | 12.6% −1.3 | 8.4% −1.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +15.5 | 29.5% −3.0 | 20.6% −9.2 | 12.2% −4.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre MEURIN Elected | RN and allies | 31,366 | 48.7 | — |
| Arnaud BORD | Left (NFP) | 17,639 | 27.4 | — |
| Nadia EL OKKI | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,538 | 16.4 | — |
| Pierre MARTIN | LR and allies | 3,930 | 6.1 | — |
| Jérôme GARCIA | Far left | 948 | 1.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Gard — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gard — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gard — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Ardèche — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Gard — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gard — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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