Riding profile

Gard — 5ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Gard

The question

Gard — 5ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Gard — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Gard, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 44% vote share, against 32% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Alexandre ALLEGRET-PILOT

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
99%
Mean margin (pts)
11.7
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 43.8%
  • Left (NFP) 32.1%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 10.4%
  • LR and allies 9.2%
  • Others 3.1%
  • Far left 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereGard — 5ème circonscription 43.8%32.1%10.4%9.2%
Provincial averageGard 48.7% −4.9 26.7% +5.4 12.6% −2.2 8.4% +0.8
National averageFrance 36.0% +7.8 29.5% +2.6 20.6% −10.2 12.2% −3.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+11.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Alexandre ALLEGRET-PILOT Elected RN and allies 27,602 41.0 —
Michel SALA Left (NFP) 22,228 33.0 —
Catherine DAUFÈS-ROUX Centre (Ensemble) 10,362 15.4 —
Léa BOYER LR and allies 5,399 8.0 —
Agnès OLINET Far left 961 1.4 —
Nordine TRIA Others 752 1.1 —
Emmanuel ESPANOL RN and allies 1 0.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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