Riding profile
Hérault — 8ème circonscription
The question
Hérault — 8ème circonscription: will Left (NFP) lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Hérault — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hérault, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 43% vote share, against 32% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sylvain CARRIERE
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.2
- P(close race)
- 1%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHérault — 8ème circonscription | 43.2% | 32.0% | 11.9% | 7.6% |
| Provincial averageHérault | 42.0% +1.2 | 32.4% −0.5 | 14.8% −2.9 | 7.1% +0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +7.2 | 29.5% +2.5 | 20.6% −8.7 | 12.2% −4.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cédric DELAPIERRE | RN and allies | 25,831 | 40.1 | — |
| Sylvain CARRIERE Elected | Left (NFP) | 21,061 | 32.7 | — |
| Isabelle AUTIER | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,854 | 16.9 | — |
| Bérangère DUBUS | LR and allies | 4,083 | 6.3 | — |
| Sabria BOUALLAGA | Greens | 2,019 | 3.1 | — |
| Thomas GARNIER | Far left | 533 | 0.8 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Hérault — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Hérault — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Hérault — 9ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 7ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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