Riding profile
Hérault — 7ème circonscription
The question
Hérault — 7ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Hérault — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hérault, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 54% vote share, against 25% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Aurélien LOPEZ-LIGUORI
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 29.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHérault — 7ème circonscription | 54.4% | 24.5% | 16.5% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageHérault | 42.0% +12.4 | 32.4% −7.9 | 14.8% +1.7 | 2.2% −0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +18.4 | 29.5% −5.0 | 20.6% −4.1 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurélien LOPEZ-LIGUORI Elected | RN and allies | 37,495 | 51.7 | — |
| Gabriel BLASCO | Left (NFP) | 18,415 | 25.4 | — |
| Jocelyne GIZARDIN | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,618 | 21.5 | — |
| Daniel PILAUDEAU | Far left | 1,047 | 1.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Hérault — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 8ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Hérault — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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