Riding profile
Hérault — 5ème circonscription
The question
Hérault — 5ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Hérault — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hérault, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 54% vote share, against 31% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Stéphanie GALZY
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 22.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHérault — 5ème circonscription | 53.6% | 31.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Provincial averageHérault | 42.0% +11.6 | 32.4% −1.1 | 14.8% −5.8 | 2.2% +1.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +17.7 | 29.5% +1.9 | 20.6% −11.6 | 3.9% −0.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphanie GALZY Elected | RN and allies | 32,781 | 48.9 | — |
| Aurélien MANENC | Left (NFP) | 21,640 | 32.3 | — |
| Philippe HUPPÉ | Centre (Ensemble) | 9,369 | 14.0 | — |
| Lilian BOURRIE | RN and allies | 1,346 | 2.0 | — |
| Rémy GROUSSARD | Others | 1,121 | 1.7 | — |
| Véronique CHESNARD | Far left | 809 | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Hérault — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 7ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aude — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aude — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aveyron — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Hérault — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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