Riding profile
Aveyron — 3ème circonscription
The question
Aveyron — 3ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Aveyron — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Aveyron, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 39% vote share, against 28% for the united left, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Jean-François ROUSSET
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 70%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.4
- P(close race)
- 55%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereAveyron — 3ème circonscription | 38.5% | 28.1% | 27.5% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageAveyron | 36.3% +2.2 | 27.3% +0.8 | 30.5% −3.0 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +2.5 | 29.5% −1.4 | 20.6% +6.9 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Antoine FEVRE | RN and allies | 18,044 | 35.5 | — |
| Jean-François ROUSSET Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,514 | 32.5 | — |
| Richard BOUIGUE | Left (NFP) | 14,660 | 28.8 | — |
| Thierry NOEL | Greens | 1,066 | 2.1 | — |
| Bernard COMBES | Far left | 607 | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Aveyron — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Tarn — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Lozère — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Aveyron — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Hérault — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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