Riding profile
Lozère — 1ère circonscription
The question
Lozère — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Lozère — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Lozère, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 35% vote share, against 33% for the united left, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sophie PANTEL
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 62%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.2
- P(close race)
- 75%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLozère — 1ère circonscription | 35.0% | 32.8% | 24.0% | 7.6% |
| Provincial averageLozère | 35.0% | 32.8% | 24.0% | 7.6% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% −1.0 | 29.5% +3.3 | 12.2% +11.7 | 3.9% +3.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie PANTEL Elected | Left (NFP) | 15,292 | 35.2 | — |
| Luc-Etienne GOUSSEAU | RN and allies | 14,743 | 33.9 | — |
| Pierre MOREL A L'HUISSIER | LR and allies | 10,451 | 24.0 | — |
| Michel GUIRAL | Others | 2,627 | 6.0 | — |
| Annie SOUCHON | Far left | 284 | 0.7 | — |
| Dja ZIDOUN | Left (NFP) | 81 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Gard — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Haute-Loire — 2ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Ardèche — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Aveyron — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Hérault — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aveyron — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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