Riding profile
Haute-Loire — 2ème circonscription
The question
Haute-Loire — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the LR right?
Editorial read
Haute-Loire — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Loire, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 40% vote share, against 35% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jean-Pierre VIGIER
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
LR and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHaute-Loire — 2ème circonscription | 39.7% | 34.9% | 18.7% | 3.3% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Loire | 38.8% +0.9 | 36.0% −1.0 | 18.3% +0.4 | 3.9% −0.6 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2% +27.5 | 36.0% −1.1 | 29.5% −10.8 | 20.6% −17.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Pierre VIGIER Elected | LR and allies | 21,573 | 38.7 | — |
| Suzanne Maryse Denise FOURETS | RN and allies | 17,885 | 32.1 | — |
| Andre Antoine Célestin CHAPAVEIRE | Left (NFP) | 10,898 | 19.6 | — |
| Patricia Pierrette GIRE-JOUBERT | Centre (Ensemble) | 4,607 | 8.3 | — |
| Antoine BREBION | Far left | 795 | 1.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Haute-Loire — 1ère circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Puy-de-Dôme — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Lozère — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Puy-de-Dôme — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Loire — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Loire — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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