Riding profile

Puy-de-Dôme — 5ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Puy-de-Dôme

The question

Puy-de-Dôme — 5ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Puy-de-Dôme — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Puy-de-Dôme, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 40% vote share, against 37% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

André CHASSAIGNE

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability
72%
Mean margin (pts)
3.0
P(close race)
56%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 39.8%
  • Left (NFP) 36.8%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 10.5%
  • LR and allies 9.8%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HerePuy-de-Dôme — 5ème circonscription 39.8%36.8%10.5%9.8%
Provincial averagePuy-de-Dôme 34.7% +5.2 33.2% +3.6 16.1% −5.6 12.7% −3.0
National averageFrance 36.0% +3.9 29.5% +7.3 20.6% −10.0 12.2% −2.5

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.0 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
André CHASSAIGNE Elected Left (NFP) 27,137 37.8
Brigitte CARLETTO RN and allies 26,595 37.0
Véronique BASTET Centre (Ensemble) 11,166 15.5
Yves COURTHALIAC LR and allies 6,154 8.6
Gabrielle CAPRON Far left 783 1.1
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next