Riding profile
Puy-de-Dôme — 1ère circonscription
The question
Puy-de-Dôme — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?
Editorial read
Puy-de-Dôme — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Puy-de-Dôme, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 37% vote share, against 30% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Marianne MAXIMI
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Safe
- Probability
- 96%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.8
- P(close race)
- 7%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePuy-de-Dôme — 1ère circonscription | 37.2% | 30.4% | 19.0% | 10.1% |
| Provincial averagePuy-de-Dôme | 33.2% +4.0 | 34.7% −4.3 | 16.1% +2.9 | 12.7% −2.6 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +7.7 | 36.0% −5.6 | 20.6% −1.6 | 12.2% −2.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianne MAXIMI Elected | Left (NFP) | 20,841 | 38.1 | — |
| Louis CLEMENT | RN and allies | 15,025 | 27.5 | — |
| Hervé PRONONCE | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,156 | 24.1 | — |
| Sébastien GALPIER | LR and allies | 4,890 | 8.9 | — |
| Dominique LECLAIR | Far left | 733 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Puy-de-Dôme — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Puy-de-Dôme — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Puy-de-Dôme — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Puy-de-Dôme — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Allier — 3ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Allier — 2ème circonscriptionLR and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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