Riding profile

Puy-de-Dôme — 2ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Puy-de-Dôme

The question

Puy-de-Dôme — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Puy-de-Dôme — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Puy-de-Dôme, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 38% vote share, against 35% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Christine PIRÈS BEAUNE

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability
82%
Mean margin (pts)
2.9
P(close race)
36%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 38.2%
  • Left (NFP) 35.3%
  • LR and allies 15.3%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 7.8%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) LR and allies Centre (Ensemble)
HerePuy-de-Dôme — 2ème circonscription 38.2%35.3%15.3%7.8%
Provincial averagePuy-de-Dôme 34.7% +3.5 33.2% +2.1 12.7% +2.6 16.1% −8.3
National averageFrance 36.0% +2.2 29.5% +5.8 12.2% +3.1 20.6% −12.8

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.9 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Christine PIRÈS BEAUNE Elected Left (NFP) 23,175 36.2
Isabelle DUPRÉ RN and allies 21,987 34.3
Sarah CHAUVIN LR and allies 9,044 14.1
Jean-Paul LEBREC Centre (Ensemble) 8,203 12.8
Franck TRUCHON Far left 969 1.5
Marion GODU RN and allies 645 1.0
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next