Riding profile

Puy-de-Dôme — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Puy-de-Dôme

The question

Puy-de-Dôme — 3ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Puy-de-Dôme — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Puy-de-Dôme, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 31% vote share, against 30% for the RN and its allies, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Nicolas BONNET

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Toss-up

Probability
67%
Mean margin (pts)
1.2
P(close race)
65%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 30.9%
  • RN and allies 29.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 21.0%
  • LR and allies 15.3%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HerePuy-de-Dôme — 3ème circonscription 30.9%29.7%21.0%15.3%
Provincial averagePuy-de-Dôme 33.2% −2.3 34.7% −5.0 16.1% +4.8 12.7% +2.6
National averageFrance 29.5% +1.4 36.0% −6.3 20.6% +0.4 12.2% +3.1

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Nicolas BONNET Elected Left (NFP) 20,470 31.7 —
Laurence VICHNIEVSKY Centre (Ensemble) 16,800 26.0 —
Nadine PERS RN and allies 16,735 25.9 —
Marie-Anne MARCHIS LR and allies 8,863 13.7 —
Marie SAVRE Far left 759 1.2 —
Patrick FINOTTO RN and allies 573 0.9 —
Louis DUPIC LR and allies 277 0.4 —
René ONDET Left (NFP) 64 0.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next