Riding profile

Puy-de-Dôme — 4ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Puy-de-Dôme

The question

Puy-de-Dôme — 4ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Puy-de-Dôme — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Puy-de-Dôme, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 35% vote share, against 26% for the united left, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Delphine LINGEMANN

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Competitive

Probability
87%
Mean margin (pts)
9.5
P(close race)
23%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 35.3%
  • Left (NFP) 25.8%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 22.3%
  • LR and allies 13.1%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HerePuy-de-Dôme — 4ème circonscription 35.3%25.8%22.3%13.1%
Provincial averagePuy-de-Dôme 34.7% +0.6 33.2% −7.4 16.1% +6.2 12.7% +0.4
National averageFrance 36.0% −0.7 29.5% −3.7 20.6% +1.7 12.2% +0.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+9.5 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Benjamin CHALUS RN and allies 22,290 31.6 —
Delphine LINGEMANN Elected Centre (Ensemble) 19,299 27.4 —
Valérie GOLÉO Left (NFP) 18,769 26.6 —
Florence DUBESSY LR and allies 8,419 11.9 —
François MAROTTE Far left 1,137 1.6 —
Pascale SANCHEZ RN and allies 569 0.8 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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