Riding profile

Loire — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Loire

The question

Loire — 6ème circonscription: will LR and allies lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Loire — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Loire, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 43% vote share, against 29% for the LR right, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Jean-Pierre TAITE

Sits with LR and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Competitive

Probability: 89%
Mean margin (pts): 14.3
P(close race): 23%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

RN and allies 43.4%
LR and allies 29.1%
Left (NFP) 16.5%
Centre (Ensemble) 7.5%
Others 2.0%
Far left 1.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	RN and allies	LR and allies	Left (NFP)	Centre (Ensemble)
HereLoire — 6ème circonscription	43.4%	29.1%	16.5%	7.5%
Provincial averageLoire	38.6% +4.8	21.6% +7.4	27.8% −11.3	16.7% −9.2
National averageFrance	36.0% +7.4	12.2% +16.8	29.5% −13.0	20.6% −13.1

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

LR and allies

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+14.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Grégoire GRANGER	RN and allies	31,016	39.7	—
Jean-Pierre TAITE Elected	LR and allies	21,724	27.8	—
Marie-Paule OLIVE	Left (NFP)	13,472	17.3	—
Alexandre SILVA	Centre (Ensemble)	9,721	12.4	—
Yves PETIOT	Far left	720	0.9	—
Norbert TRICHARD	Far left	502	0.6	—
Sandra HAURY	Greens	480	0.6	—
Yvan GUY-MERCIER	RN and allies	470	0.6	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next