Riding profile
Rhône — 10ème circonscription
The question
Rhône — 10ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Rhône — 10ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Rhône, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 35% vote share, against 27% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Thomas GASSILLOUD
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
Centre (Ensemble)
Toss-up
- Probability
- 71%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.6
- P(close race)
- 57%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRhône — 10ème circonscription | 35.1% | 27.4% | 22.8% | 12.0% |
| Provincial averageRhône | 29.2% +5.9 | 20.4% +7.1 | 36.0% −13.2 | 12.4% −0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% −0.9 | 20.6% +6.9 | 29.5% −6.7 | 12.2% −0.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas GASSILLOUD Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 23,964 | 32.5 | — |
| Cecile PATOUT | RN and allies | 22,942 | 31.1 | — |
| Florence Janine Jacqueline PERRIN | Left (NFP) | 17,412 | 23.6 | — |
| Sophie CRUZ | LR and allies | 6,689 | 9.1 | — |
| David HORNUS | LR and allies | 1,296 | 1.8 | — |
| Irène BERENYI GELEY | RN and allies | 788 | 1.1 | — |
| Gilles BOMPARD | Far left | 551 | 0.8 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Rhône — 12ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Loire — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 8ème circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Rhône — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 11ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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