Riding profile

Rhône — 8ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Rhône

The question

Rhône — 8ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Rhône — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Rhône, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 37% vote share, against 22% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Jonathan GERY

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability
76%
Mean margin (pts)
15.5
P(close race)
48%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 37.4%
  • Left (NFP) 21.9%
  • LR and allies 21.8%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 16.1%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) LR and allies Centre (Ensemble)
HereRhône — 8ème circonscription 37.4%21.9%21.8%16.1%
Provincial averageRhône 29.2% +8.3 36.0% −14.1 12.4% +9.3 20.4% −4.2
National averageFrance 36.0% +1.5 29.5% −7.6 12.2% +9.6 20.6% −4.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+15.5 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jonathan GERY Elected RN and allies 25,810 33.5 —
Anne REYMBAUT Left (NFP) 17,548 22.8 —
Dominique DESPRAS Centre (Ensemble) 16,338 21.2 —
Nathalie SERRE LR and allies 15,941 20.7 —
Xavier FOURBOUL RN and allies 876 1.1 —
Tristan TEYSSIER Far left 630 0.8 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next