Riding profile
Hérault — 3ème circonscription
The question
Hérault — 3ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Hérault — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hérault, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 37% vote share, against 33% for the united left, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Fanny DOMBRE-COSTE
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 66%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.3
- P(close race)
- 67%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHérault — 3ème circonscription | 36.5% | 33.2% | 24.1% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageHérault | 42.0% −5.5 | 32.4% +0.7 | 14.8% +9.3 | 2.5% −0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +0.5 | 29.5% +3.7 | 20.6% +3.6 | 2.1% +0.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanny DOMBRE-COSTE Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,968 | 33.9 | — |
| Lauriane TROISE | RN and allies | 21,872 | 32.3 | — |
| Laurence CRISTOL | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,714 | 29.1 | — |
| Flavio DALMAU | Greens | 2,049 | 3.0 | — |
| Babeth SEGURA | RN and allies | 793 | 1.2 | — |
| Serge GACHON | Far left | 359 | 0.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Hérault — 9ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Hérault — 8ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gard — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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