Riding profile
Gard — 2ème circonscription
The question
Gard — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Gard — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Gard, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 55% vote share, against 23% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Nicolas MEIZONNET
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 32.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGard — 2ème circonscription | 55.0% | 23.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% |
| Provincial averageGard | 48.7% +6.3 | 26.7% −3.7 | 8.4% +1.8 | 12.6% −3.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +19.0 | 29.5% −6.5 | 12.2% −1.9 | 20.6% −11.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas MEIZONNET Elected | RN and allies | 34,427 | 52.2 | — |
| Katy GUYOT | Left (NFP) | 15,727 | 23.9 | — |
| Sophie PELLEGRIN PONSOLE | Centre (Ensemble) | 9,300 | 14.1 | — |
| Catherine BOLLE | LR and allies | 4,155 | 6.3 | — |
| Véronique JULLIAN | LR and allies | 1,841 | 2.8 | — |
| Stéphane MANSON | Far left | 478 | 0.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Hérault — 9ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gard — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Gard — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Hérault — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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