Riding profile

Loiret — 5ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Loiret

The question

Loiret — 5ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Loiret — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Loiret, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 47% vote share, against 19% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Anthony BROSSE

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
28.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 47.5%
  • Left (NFP) 18.9%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 17.0%
  • LR and allies 11.2%
  • Others 4.6%
  • Far left 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereLoiret — 5ème circonscription 47.5%18.9%17.0%11.2%
Provincial averageLoiret 42.3% +5.2 24.5% −5.6 20.8% −3.8 11.9% −0.8
National averageFrance 36.0% +11.5 29.5% −10.6 20.6% −3.6 12.2% −1.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+28.6 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jean-Lin LACAPELLE RN and allies 20,893 43.4 —
Anthony BROSSE Elected Centre (Ensemble) 10,604 22.0 —
Anne-Laure BOUTET Left (NFP) 9,524 19.8 —
Benjamin QUELIN LR and allies 4,817 10.0 —
Christine BIARDEAU Others 1,259 2.6 —
Martine ROBERT RN and allies 651 1.4 —
Céline SOTTEJEAU Far left 429 0.9 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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