Riding profile
Essonne — 3ème circonscription
The question
Essonne — 3ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Essonne — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Essonne, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 37% vote share, against 30% for the united left, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Steevy GUSTAVE
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 58%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.2
- P(close race)
- 77%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEssonne — 3ème circonscription | 37.2% | 30.0% | 24.8% | 5.7% |
| Provincial averageEssonne | 28.2% +9.0 | 37.4% −7.4 | 22.7% +2.1 | 5.8% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +1.2 | 29.5% +0.5 | 20.6% +4.2 | 3.9% +1.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan MILOSEVIC | RN and allies | 22,290 | 33.0 | — |
| Steevy GUSTAVE Elected | Left (NFP) | 20,874 | 30.9 | — |
| Alexis IZARD | Centre (Ensemble) | 20,189 | 29.9 | — |
| Catherine BOMPARD | Others | 2,453 | 3.6 | — |
| Denis TRANIER | RN and allies | 925 | 1.4 | — |
| Joëlle LOPÈS-VENOT | Far left | 713 | 1.1 | — |
| Salvador RIBEIRO | Others | 82 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Essonne — 4ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Essonne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 5ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 10ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Yvelines — 2ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 6ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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