Riding profile

Essonne — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Essonne

The question

Essonne — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Essonne — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Essonne, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 56% vote share, against 25% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Jérôme GUEDJ

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
31.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 56.2%
  • RN and allies 24.6%
  • LR and allies 15.0%
  • Greens 1.9%
  • Others 1.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies Greens
HereEssonne — 6ème circonscription 56.2%24.6%15.0%1.9%
Provincial averageEssonne 37.4% +18.8 28.2% −3.7 7.3% +7.7 2.3% −0.4
National averageFrance 29.5% +26.7 36.0% −11.4 12.2% +2.8 2.1% −0.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+31.6 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jérôme GUEDJ Elected Left (NFP) 19,280 34.4 —
Hella KRIBI - ROMDHANE Left (NFP) 14,124 25.2 —
Natacha GOUPY RN and allies 11,650 20.8 —
Chantal LACARRIERE FARGES LR and allies 8,119 14.5 —
Aloïs LANG-ROUSSEAU Greens 1,455 2.6 —
Francine MONNIER RN and allies 1,075 1.9 —
Bastien VAYSSIÈRE Far left 280 0.5 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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