Riding profile

Hauts-de-Seine — 13ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Hauts-de-Seine

The question

Hauts-de-Seine — 13ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Hauts-de-Seine — 13ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hauts-de-Seine, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 37% vote share, against 35% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Maud BREGEON

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Toss-up

Probability
55%
Mean margin (pts)
1.7
P(close race)
91%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 36.8%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 35.1%
  • RN and allies 18.8%
  • LR and allies 6.7%
  • Others 2.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies LR and allies
HereHauts-de-Seine — 13ème circonscription 36.8%35.1%18.8%6.7%
Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine 35.9% +0.9 32.1% +3.0 19.2% −0.4 16.9% −10.2
National averageFrance 29.5% +7.3 20.6% +14.6 36.0% −17.2 12.2% −5.5

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Maud BREGEON Elected Centre (Ensemble) 25,721 39.2 —
Brice GAILLARD Left (NFP) 24,798 37.8 —
Patrick YVARS RN and allies 9,629 14.7 —
Numa ISNARD LR and allies 3,613 5.5 —
Marie-Josée PRETO RN and allies 770 1.2 —
Mohamed TOUNSI Centre (Ensemble) 736 1.1 —
Agathe MARTIN Far left 385 0.6 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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