Riding profile

Val-de-Marne — 7ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Val-de-Marne

The question

Val-de-Marne — 7ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Val-de-Marne — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Val-de-Marne, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 41% vote share, against 34% for the LR right, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Vincent JEANBRUN

Sits with LR and allies

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Toss-up

Probability
75%
Mean margin (pts)
6.7
P(close race)
49%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 40.7%
  • LR and allies 34.0%
  • RN and allies 22.1%
  • Others 1.9%
  • Far left 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) LR and allies RN and allies Others
HereVal-de-Marne — 7ème circonscription 40.7%34.0%22.1%1.9%
Provincial averageVal-de-Marne 44.0% −3.3 12.6% +21.4 22.9% −0.8 2.0% −0.1
National averageFrance 29.5% +11.2 12.2% +21.8 36.0% −13.9 3.9% −2.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
LR and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Rachel KEKE Left (NFP) 18,736 43.6 —
Vincent JEANBRUN Elected LR and allies 14,869 34.6 —
Claude LEDION RN and allies 8,111 18.9 —
Claire MAURY Far left 623 1.4 —
Florence DE LA RUELLE RN and allies 493 1.1 —
Rachel CASTIN RN and allies 95 0.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next