Riding profile
Essonne — 7ème circonscription
The question
Essonne — 7ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?
Editorial read
Essonne — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Essonne, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 40% vote share, against 29% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Claire LEJEUNE
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEssonne — 7ème circonscription | 39.8% | 29.2% | 24.9% | 3.3% |
| Provincial averageEssonne | 37.4% +2.4 | 28.2% +0.9 | 22.7% +2.2 | 5.8% −2.5 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +10.3 | 36.0% −6.8 | 20.6% +4.4 | 3.9% −0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire LEJEUNE Elected | Left (NFP) | 19,012 | 40.8 | — |
| Robin REDA | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,000 | 30.1 | — |
| Audrey GUIBERT | RN and allies | 11,676 | 25.1 | — |
| Olivier VAGNEUX | LR and allies | 694 | 1.5 | — |
| Olivier VILLETTE | Others | 606 | 1.3 | — |
| Didier CORMIER | RN and allies | 577 | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Val-de-Marne — 7ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Val-de-Marne — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 10ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 8ème circonscriptionSovereignists Toss-upOpen →
- Val-de-Marne — 9ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Essonne — 6ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
fr_leg_next