Riding profile

Hauts-de-Seine — 12ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Hauts-de-Seine

The question

Hauts-de-Seine — 12ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Hauts-de-Seine — 12ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hauts-de-Seine, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 39% vote share, against 36% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Jean-Didier BERGER

Sits with LR and allies

Current forecast

LR and allies

Toss-up

Probability
78%
Mean margin (pts)
2.3
P(close race)
45%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • LR and allies 38.8%
  • Left (NFP) 36.5%
  • RN and allies 20.4%
  • Greens 1.9%
  • Others 1.9%
  • Far left 0.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

LR and allies Left (NFP) RN and allies Greens
HereHauts-de-Seine — 12ème circonscription 38.8%36.5%20.4%1.9%
Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine 16.9% +21.9 35.9% +0.5 19.2% +1.2 1.6% +0.3
National averageFrance 12.2% +26.5 29.5% +7.0 36.0% −15.6 2.1% −0.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
LR and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jean-Didier BERGER Elected LR and allies 26,790 39.4 —
Lounes ADJROUD Left (NFP) 26,034 38.3 —
Christophe VERSINI RN and allies 11,710 17.2 —
Stéphane LEGRAND Greens 1,762 2.6 —
Philippe HOUPLAIN RN and allies 736 1.1 —
Guillaume CHINAN Left (NFP) 444 0.7 —
Yann BERNARD Far left 444 0.7 —
Assma BENHARKAT Left (NFP) 23 0.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next