Riding profile

Hauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Hauts-de-Seine

The question

Hauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscription: a safe seat for the centrist bloc?

Editorial read

Hauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hauts-de-Seine, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 39% vote share, against 35% for the united left, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Gabriel ATTAL

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Competitive

Probability
90%
Mean margin (pts)
3.8
P(close race)
21%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 38.7%
  • Left (NFP) 34.9%
  • RN and allies 17.5%
  • LR and allies 6.3%
  • Others 2.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies
HereHauts-de-Seine — 10ème circonscription 38.7%34.9%17.5%6.3%
Provincial averageHauts-de-Seine 32.1% +6.5 35.9% −1.0 19.2% −1.7 16.9% −10.6
National averageFrance 20.6% +18.1 29.5% +5.4 36.0% −18.5 12.2% −5.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Gabriel ATTAL Elected Centre (Ensemble) 25,675 43.9 —
Cécile SOUBELET Left (NFP) 20,806 35.5 —
Sébastien LAYE RN and allies 7,732 13.2 —
Clément PERRIN LR and allies 2,972 5.1 —
Herlander FERREIRA DO AMARAL RN and allies 766 1.3 —
Laurence VIGUIÉ Far left 315 0.5 —
Béatrice GUILLEMET Left (NFP) 150 0.3 —
Nicolas LEMESLE Others 109 0.2 —
Esteban YGOUF Left (NFP) 28 0.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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