Riding profile

Moselle — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Moselle

The question

Moselle — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Moselle — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Moselle, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 51% vote share, against 25% for the LR right, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Kévin PFEFFER

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
26.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 51.1%
  • LR and allies 24.8%
  • Left (NFP) 20.6%
  • Others 1.9%
  • Far left 1.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies LR and allies Left (NFP) Others
HereMoselle — 6ème circonscription 51.1%24.8%20.6%1.9%
Provincial averageMoselle 46.0% +5.1 16.7% +8.1 20.8% −0.2 3.2% −1.3
National averageFrance 36.0% +15.1 12.2% +12.6 29.5% −8.9 3.9% −2.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+26.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Kévin PFEFFER Elected RN and allies 18,575 50.9
Alexandre CASSARO LR and allies 7,746 21.2
Claire BLADT Left (NFP) 7,740 21.2
Dominique FEISS LR and allies 1,348 3.7
Lola LEGRAND Far left 618 1.7
Olivier MUNCH Left (NFP) 466 1.3
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next