Riding profile
Moselle — 9ème circonscription
The question
Moselle — 9ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Moselle — 9ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Moselle, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 43% vote share, against 30% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Isabelle RAUCH
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 72%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.9
- P(close race)
- 56%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMoselle — 9ème circonscription | 42.9% | 30.0% | 22.0% | 2.6% |
| Provincial averageMoselle | 46.0% −3.0 | 17.4% +12.6 | 20.8% +1.2 | 3.2% −0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +7.0 | 20.6% +9.4 | 29.5% −7.5 | 3.9% −1.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baptiste PHILIPPO | RN and allies | 24,483 | 38.3 | — |
| Isabelle RAUCH Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 22,460 | 35.1 | — |
| Brigitte VAÎSSE | Left (NFP) | 14,607 | 22.8 | — |
| Florent HAMMERSCHMITT | RN and allies | 1,181 | 1.9 | — |
| Guy MAURHOFER | Far left | 805 | 1.3 | — |
| Laurent KOPP | Others | 413 | 0.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Moselle — 3ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Moselle — 8ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Moselle — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Moselle — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Moselle — 7ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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