Riding profile
Moselle — 8ème circonscription
The question
Moselle — 8ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Moselle — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Moselle, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 49% vote share, against 28% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Laurent JACOBELLI
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 21.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMoselle — 8ème circonscription | 49.1% | 28.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
| Provincial averageMoselle | 46.0% +3.2 | 20.8% +7.3 | 17.4% −6.7 | 16.7% −9.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +13.2 | 29.5% −1.4 | 20.6% −9.9 | 12.2% −4.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurent JACOBELLI Elected | RN and allies | 23,558 | 46.4 | — |
| Céline LEGER | Left (NFP) | 14,724 | 29.0 | — |
| Samuel ZONATO | Centre (Ensemble) | 7,986 | 15.7 | — |
| Raphaëlle ROSA | LR and allies | 3,296 | 6.5 | — |
| Annick JOLIVET | Far left | 1,249 | 2.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Moselle — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Moselle — 9ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Moselle — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Moselle — 3ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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