Riding profile
Moselle — 2ème circonscription
The question
Moselle — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Moselle — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Moselle, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 40% vote share, against 26% for the united left, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Ludovic MENDES
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 80%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.6
- P(close race)
- 37%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMoselle — 2ème circonscription | 40.3% | 25.7% | 25.1% | 6.7% |
| Provincial averageMoselle | 46.0% −5.7 | 20.8% +4.9 | 17.4% +7.7 | 3.2% +3.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +4.3 | 29.5% −3.8 | 20.6% +4.5 | 3.9% +2.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie-Claude VOINCON | RN and allies | 18,352 | 37.5 | — |
| Ludovic MENDES Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,795 | 30.2 | — |
| Victorien NICOLAS | Left (NFP) | 13,028 | 26.6 | — |
| Laurent PARISSE | Others | 1,477 | 3.0 | — |
| Aurélie CONTAL | Others | 741 | 1.5 | — |
| Mario RINALDI | Far left | 461 | 0.9 | — |
| Gisèle TATY BOUANGA | Others | 109 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Moselle — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Moselle — 3ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Moselle — 8ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Moselle — 9ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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