Riding profile

Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Meurthe-et-Moselle

The question

Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Meurthe-et-Moselle, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 48% vote share, against 26% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Anthony BOULOGNE

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
21.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 47.6%
  • Left (NFP) 26.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 10.5%
  • LR and allies 9.9%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Greens 1.5%
  • Sovereignists 1.3%
  • Far left 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereMeurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscription 47.6%26.0%10.5%9.9%
Provincial averageMeurthe-et-Moselle 39.4% +8.2 31.4% −5.4 17.6% −7.1 13.3% −3.4
National averageFrance 36.0% +11.6 29.5% −3.5 20.6% −10.1 12.2% −2.3

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+21.6 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Anthony BOULOGNE Elected RN and allies 24,121 44.5 —
Caroline FIAT Left (NFP) 14,479 26.7 —
Ergün TOPARSLAN Centre (Ensemble) 8,353 15.4 —
Jordan SIMON LR and allies 4,700 8.7 —
Richard NOWAK Greens 1,133 2.1 —
Dominique BARBIN Far left 718 1.3 —
Sonia THIRION Sovereignists 664 1.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next