Riding profile

Meurthe-et-Moselle — 5ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Meurthe-et-Moselle

The question

Meurthe-et-Moselle — 5ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Meurthe-et-Moselle — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Meurthe-et-Moselle, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 41% vote share, against 41% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Dominique POTIER

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability: 79%
Mean margin (pts): 0.8
P(close race): 42%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

RN and allies 41.3%
Left (NFP) 40.5%
LR and allies 14.4%
Others 2.3%
Far left 1.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	RN and allies	Left (NFP)	LR and allies	Others
HereMeurthe-et-Moselle — 5ème circonscription	41.3%	40.5%	14.4%	2.3%
Provincial averageMeurthe-et-Moselle	39.4% +1.9	31.4% +9.1	13.3% +1.1	2.0% +0.3
National averageFrance	36.0% +5.3	29.5% +11.0	12.2% +2.2	3.9% −1.6

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Left (NFP)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+0.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Dominique POTIER Elected	Left (NFP)	22,415	43.5	—
Louis-Joseph PECHER	RN and allies	15,704	30.4	—
Quentin VINOT	LR and allies	7,220	14.0	—
Pierre-Nicolas NUPS	RN and allies	5,190	10.1	—
Miriam AUBERT	Far left	792	1.5	—
Edouard MATHIEU	Others	244	0.5	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next