Riding profile

Seine-Saint-Denis — 2ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Seine-Saint-Denis

The question

Seine-Saint-Denis — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Seine-Saint-Denis — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Seine-Saint-Denis, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 71% vote share, against 15% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Stéphane PEU

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability: 100%
Mean margin (pts): 56.2
P(close race): 0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Left (NFP) 71.1%
RN and allies 14.9%
Far left 5.2%
LR and allies 3.8%
Centre (Ensemble) 2.5%
Others 2.0%
Greens 0.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Left (NFP)	RN and allies	Far left	LR and allies
HereSeine-Saint-Denis — 2ème circonscription	71.1%	14.9%	5.2%	3.8%
Provincial averageSeine-Saint-Denis	58.8% +12.3	19.9% −5.0	1.7% +3.4	11.9% −8.1
National averageFrance	29.5% +41.6	36.0% −21.1	1.1% +4.1	12.2% −8.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Left (NFP)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+56.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Stéphane PEU Elected	Left (NFP)	22,055	71.8	—
Luc COLOMAS	RN and allies	3,628	11.8	—
Samantha UK	Centre (Ensemble)	2,282	7.4	—
Anasse KAZIB	Far left	1,128	3.7	—
Louis-Auxile MAILLARD	LR and allies	798	2.6	—
Agnès RENAUD	Far left	491	1.6	—
Maki Théa MARQUAND	Greens	334	1.1	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next