Riding profile

Val-d'Oise — 8ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Val-d'Oise

The question

Val-d'Oise — 8ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Val-d'Oise — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Val-d'Oise, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 55% vote share, against 23% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Carlos Martens BILONGO

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
31.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 55.3%
  • RN and allies 23.4%
  • LR and allies 18.1%
  • Others 1.9%
  • Far left 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies Others
HereVal-d'Oise — 8ème circonscription 55.3%23.4%18.1%1.9%
Provincial averageVal-d'Oise 39.7% +15.6 29.6% −6.2 10.4% +7.7 2.7% −0.8
National averageFrance 29.5% +25.8 36.0% −12.6 12.2% +5.9 3.9% −2.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+31.9 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Carlos Martens BILONGO Elected Left (NFP) 17,386 58.3 —
Thierry FOUCHEREAU RN and allies 5,840 19.6 —
Ramzi ZINAOUI LR and allies 3,293 11.0 —
Patrick ANGREVIER LR and allies 1,961 6.6 —
Luisa VARELA RN and allies 503 1.7 —
Malika KHERFI Centre (Ensemble) 451 1.5 —
Rémi GAJDOS Far left 404 1.4 —
Jean-Baptiste TONDU Far left 0 0.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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