Riding profile

Val-d'Oise — 7ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Val-d'Oise

The question

Val-d'Oise — 7ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Val-d'Oise — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Val-d'Oise, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 37% vote share, against 32% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Romain ESKENAZI

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability: 93%
Mean margin (pts): 5.3
P(close race): 14%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Left (NFP) 37.0%
RN and allies 31.7%
Centre (Ensemble) 18.1%
LR and allies 10.0%
Others 2.0%
Far left 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Left (NFP)	RN and allies	Centre (Ensemble)	LR and allies
HereVal-d'Oise — 7ème circonscription	37.0%	31.7%	18.1%	10.0%
Provincial averageVal-d'Oise	39.7% −2.8	29.6% +2.1	17.3% +0.8	10.4% −0.4
National averageFrance	29.5% +7.5	36.0% −4.3	20.6% −2.5	12.2% −2.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Left (NFP)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+5.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Romain ESKENAZI Elected	Left (NFP)	16,797	37.9	—
David QUENTIN	RN and allies	12,065	27.3	—
Dominique DA SILVA	Centre (Ensemble)	10,241	23.1	—
Jean-Pierre YALCIN	LR and allies	3,891	8.8	—
Virginie VIEVILLE	RN and allies	696	1.6	—
Valérie SUAREZ	Far left	578	1.3	—
Marie-Christine CHASTAING	Sovereignists	3	0.0	—
Aurélien GAVOIS	Far left	0	0.0	—
Didier ARNAL	Others	0	0.0	—
Linda UZAN	Others	0	0.0	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next