Riding profile

Corse-du-Sud — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Corse-du-Sud

The question

Corse-du-Sud — 1ère circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to Others?

Editorial read

Corse-du-Sud — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Corse-du-Sud, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another bloc ahead at 34% vote share, against 30% for another bloc, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Laurent MARCANGELI

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Others

Competitive

Probability
88%
Mean margin (pts)
3.9
P(close race)
22%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 34.0%
  • Others 30.1%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 25.6%
  • Left (NFP) 8.6%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Others Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP)
HereCorse-du-Sud — 1ère circonscription 34.0%30.1%25.6%8.6%
Provincial averageCorse-du-Sud 35.1% −1.0 32.9% −2.8 25.6% 9.8% −1.2
National averageFrance 36.0% −1.9 3.9% +26.2 20.6% +5.0 29.5% −20.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.9 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Ariane QUARENA RN and allies 10,377 31.2
Laurent MARCANGELI Elected Centre (Ensemble) 10,210 30.7
Romain COLONNA Others 5,601 16.8
Marc-Antoine LEROY Left (NFP) 3,125 9.4
Emmanuelle DOMINICI Others 1,533 4.6
Lisandru LUCIANI Others 1,202 3.6
Jean-François LUCIANI Others 1,078 3.2
Didier QUILICHINI Far left 133 0.4
Last model run
Cycle
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