Riding profile

Haute-Corse — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Haute-Corse

The question

Haute-Corse — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for another bloc?

Editorial read

Haute-Corse — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Corse, elected a member with another bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another bloc ahead at 42% vote share, against 33% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Michel CASTELLANI

Sits with Others

Current forecast

Others

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Others 41.6%
  • RN and allies 32.6%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 14.8%
  • Left (NFP) 8.1%
  • LR and allies 1.2%
  • Sovereignists 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Others RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP)
HereHaute-Corse — 1ère circonscription 41.6%32.6%14.8%8.1%
Provincial averageHaute-Corse 37.8% +3.9 29.8% +2.9 14.8% 8.1%
National averageFrance 3.9% +37.7 36.0% −3.3 20.6% −5.8 29.5% −21.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Others
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+9.0 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Michel CASTELLANI Elected Others 11,962 31.7 —
Jean-Michel MARCHAL RN and allies 10,855 28.8 —
Julien MORGANTI Centre (Ensemble) 5,436 14.4 —
Sacha BASTELICA Left (NFP) 3,353 8.9 —
Jean-François PAOLI Centre (Ensemble) 2,045 5.4 —
Nicolas BATTINI Others 1,603 4.3 —
Jean-Baptiste LUCCIARDI Others 1,471 3.9 —
Alexis FERNANDEZ Sovereignists 393 1.0 —
Jean-Michel LAMBERTI RN and allies 370 1.0 —
Olivier JOSUÉ Far left 203 0.5 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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