Riding profile

Haute-Corse — 2ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Haute-Corse

The question

Haute-Corse — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Haute-Corse — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Corse, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another bloc ahead at 34% vote share, against 33% for the LR right, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

François-Xavier CECCOLI

Sits with LR and allies

Current forecast

Others

Toss-up

Probability
56%
Mean margin (pts)
0.6
P(close race)
74%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Others 34.0%
  • LR and allies 33.4%
  • RN and allies 26.9%
  • Greens 5.2%
  • Far left 0.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Others LR and allies RN and allies Greens
HereHaute-Corse — 2ème circonscription 34.0%33.4%26.9%5.2%
Provincial averageHaute-Corse 37.8% −3.8 17.3% +16.1 29.8% −2.8 5.2%
National averageFrance 3.9% +30.0 12.2% +21.2 36.0% −9.0 2.1% +3.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
LR and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+0.6 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
François-Xavier CECCOLI Elected LR and allies 15,100 34.0 —
Jean-Félix ACQUAVIVA Others 12,698 28.6 —
Sylvie JOUART RN and allies 11,275 25.4 —
Hélène SANCHEZ Greens 2,668 6.0 —
Antò CARLI Others 2,277 5.1 —
Viviane RONGIONE Far left 280 0.6 —
- BARONNE MARIE-LOUISE MARIANI Others 50 0.1 —
Jean-Antoine GIACOMI Others 0 0.0 —

Around the region

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Last model run
Cycle
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