Race profile
Nebraska
The question
Nebraska: a safe seat for the Republicans?
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.9
- P(close race)
- 1%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this race stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereNebraska | 53.0% | 39.1% | 7.8% |
| National averageUnited States | 48.2% +4.9 | 49.1% −10.0 | 2.7% +5.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 36 state races (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
District polls
Polls in this district
3 polls
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Pop. | Topline | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surveyusa Grant Forbes, LLC | 8–Sep 13 | 503 | LV | link | |
| Public Policy Polling DGA | 1–Sep 2 | 559 | RV | link | |
| Public Policy Polling | 6–Apr 7 | 670 | RV | link |
District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.
Editorial read
Nebraska elected a governor with the Republicans at its previous election, by 23 points. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 53% vote share, against 39% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting governor
Jim Pillen
Party Republican
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Republican Incumbent
Jim Pillen
-
Democrat Challenger Lynne Walz
- Other Challenger
Brett Lindstrom
- Other Challenger
Rick Beard
Previous election · 2022
Elsewhere on the map
Other races to watch
Tone only — open a race to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_governor_2026