Riding profile

NE-3

US House district — NE · Mixed · us ne

The question

NE-3: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

NE-3, a mixed riding in NE, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 61-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 77% vote share, against 23% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

SMITH, ADRIAN

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Smith, Adrian

  • Democrat Challenger

    Stille, Becky Lynn

  • Other Challenger

    Cohen, Mark

  • Republican Challenger

    Huebner, David P. Mr.

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
54.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 77.2%
  • Democrat 22.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereNE-3 77.2%22.8%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +30.5 51.9% −29.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
60.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-6.5 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026