Riding profile

NV-2

US House district — NV · Mixed · us nv

The question

NV-2: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

NV-2, a mixed riding in NV, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 53% vote share, against 30% for another party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

AMODEI, MARK EUGENE

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Amodei, Mark Eugene

  • Republican Challenger

    Flippo, David

  • Democrat Open seat

    Benitez-Thompson, Teresa

  • Democrat Open seat

    Durham, Kathy L

  • Democrat Open seat

    Fonken, Matthew William

  • Democrat Open seat

    Hebert, Joshua Russell Dr.

  • Democrat Open seat

    Kidd, Greg

  • Democrat Open seat

    Wadsworth, Morgan Leigh

  • Republican Open seat

    Forbush, George

  • Republican Open seat

    Settelmeyer, James Arnold

  • Republican Open seat

    Smith, Mike

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
23.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 52.6%
  • Other 29.6%
  • Democrat 17.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Other Democrat
HereNV-2 52.6%29.6%17.9%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +5.9 5.4% +24.2 51.9% −34.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

District polls

Polls in this district

1 poll

Pollster Field dates Sample Pop. Topline Source
Wedgewood Polls 9–Jul 12 350 LV
Democrat 48 Republican 46
link

District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
10.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+12.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026