Riding profile

NV-3

US House district — NV · Mixed · us nv

The question

NV-3: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

NV-3, a mixed riding in NV, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 55% vote share, against 45% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

LEE, SUSIE

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Lee, Susie

  • Democrat Challenger

    Lally, James Dr.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Robinson, Terrill

  • Republican Challenger

    Anderson, Tera

  • Republican Challenger

    Brandlin, Christopher Paul

  • Republican Challenger

    Dominguez, Lydia

  • Republican Challenger

    Gunter, Jeff Dr.

  • Republican Challenger

    Kennedy, Ronda

  • Republican Challenger

    London, Steven

  • Republican Challenger

    Nagy, Aury

  • Republican Challenger

    O'Donnell, Marty

  • Republican Challenger

    O'Donnell, Marty

  • Republican Challenger

    Walters, Joshua

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.8
P(close race)
2%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 54.9%
  • Republican 45.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereNV-3 54.9%45.1%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +3.0 46.6% −1.5

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
2.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+7.0 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026