Riding profile
Aisne — 3ème circonscription
The question
Aisne — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Aisne — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Aisne, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 58% vote share, against 35% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Eddy CASTERMAN
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 22.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Sovereignists | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereAisne — 3ème circonscription | 57.5% | 35.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageAisne | 55.9% +1.6 | 20.8% +14.2 | 2.8% | 2.1% −0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +21.6 | 29.5% +5.5 | 1.6% +1.1 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddy CASTERMAN Elected | RN and allies | 23,577 | 57.6 | — |
| Jean-Louis BRICOUT | Left (NFP) | 15,385 | 37.6 | — |
| Damien CRÉON | Sovereignists | 1,165 | 2.9 | — |
| Laetitia VOISIN | Far left | 763 | 1.9 | — |
| Anne-Marie FOURNIER | RN and allies | 11 | 0.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Aisne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 12ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 18ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aisne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 21ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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