Riding profile
Nord — 18ème circonscription
The question
Nord — 18ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Nord — 18ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Nord, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 53% vote share, against 32% for the LR right, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Alexandre DUFOSSET
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNord — 18ème circonscription | 52.6% | 32.4% | 11.5% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0% +10.7 | 12.7% +19.7 | 28.2% −16.6 | 3.6% −1.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +16.7 | 12.2% +20.2 | 29.5% −17.9 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre DUFOSSET Elected | RN and allies | 29,404 | 52.5 | — |
| Nicolas SIEGLER | LR and allies | 18,434 | 32.9 | — |
| Benoît MARECHAL | Left (NFP) | 7,230 | 12.9 | — |
| Nadine REYNAERT | Far left | 930 | 1.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Nord — 19ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aisne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 16ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 20ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 17ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 21ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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