Riding profile
Nord — 20ème circonscription
The question
Nord — 20ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Nord — 20ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Nord, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 53% vote share, against 30% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Guillaume FLORQUIN
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 22.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNord — 20ème circonscription | 53.0% | 30.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0% +11.0 | 28.2% +2.1 | 12.7% −5.0 | 19.0% −13.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +17.1 | 29.5% +0.8 | 12.2% −4.5 | 20.6% −15.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guillaume FLORQUIN Elected | RN and allies | 23,852 | 50.3 | — |
| Fabien ROUSSEL | Left (NFP) | 14,791 | 31.2 | — |
| Pierre-Luc VERVANDIER | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,010 | 10.6 | — |
| Élisabeth GONDY | LR and allies | 3,087 | 6.5 | — |
| Dimitri MOZDZIERZ | Far left | 679 | 1.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Nord — 21ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 19ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 16ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 6ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) CompetitiveOpen →
- Nord — 18ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 7ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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