Riding profile

Nord — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Nord

The question

Nord — 6ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Nord — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Nord, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 38% vote share, against 33% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Charlotte PARMENTIER-LECOCQ

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Toss-up

Probability
81%
Mean margin (pts)
4.9
P(close race)
38%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 37.9%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 33.0%
  • Left (NFP) 18.7%
  • LR and allies 7.5%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
HereNord — 6ème circonscription 37.9%33.0%18.7%7.5%
Provincial averageNord 42.0% −4.1 19.0% +13.9 28.2% −9.5 12.7% −5.2
National averageFrance 36.0% +1.9 20.6% +12.4 29.5% −10.8 12.2% −4.7

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.9 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Charlotte PARMENTIER-LECOCQ Elected Centre (Ensemble) 25,831 38.1 —
Marie Hélène QUATREBOEUFS RN and allies 23,781 35.1 —
Célia PEREIRA Left (NFP) 13,243 19.5 —
Jimi EROTICO LR and allies 4,265 6.3 —
Frédéric BARREZ Far left 687 1.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next