Riding profile
Nord — 3ème circonscription
The question
Nord — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Nord — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Nord, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 53% vote share, against 41% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sandra DELANNOY
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Far left | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNord — 3ème circonscription | 52.6% | 41.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0% +10.6 | 28.2% +13.1 | 1.5% +1.5 | 3.6% −1.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +16.6 | 29.5% +11.8 | 1.1% +1.8 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandra DELANNOY Elected | RN and allies | 26,874 | 50.8 | — |
| Benjamin SAINT-HUILE | Left (NFP) | 23,429 | 44.3 | — |
| Marie-Claude RONDEAUX | Far left | 1,697 | 3.2 | — |
| Louis MAHIEU | RN and allies | 876 | 1.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Nord — 12ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aisne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 21ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 20ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 19ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 18ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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