Riding profile
Hautes-Alpes — 2ème circonscription
The question
Hautes-Alpes — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Hautes-Alpes — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Hautes-Alpes, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 37% vote share, against 32% for the united left, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Valérie ROSSI
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Toss-up
- Probability
- 55%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.9
- P(close race)
- 90%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHautes-Alpes — 2ème circonscription | 36.7% | 31.8% | 21.6% | 7.7% |
| Provincial averageHautes-Alpes | 38.9% −2.2 | 30.7% +1.1 | 19.6% +2.1 | 4.8% +2.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +0.7 | 29.5% +2.3 | 20.6% +1.1 | 3.9% +3.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis ALBRAND | RN and allies | 13,115 | 33.9 | — |
| Valérie ROSSI Elected | Left (NFP) | 12,661 | 32.7 | — |
| Sébastien FINE | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,338 | 26.7 | — |
| Johann MONDAIN | Others | 2,206 | 5.7 | — |
| Boris GUIGNARD | Far left | 394 | 1.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Savoie — 3ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Alpes-de-Haute-Provence — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Hautes-Alpes — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Alpes-de-Haute-Provence — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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